CIA Red Cell
This memo was prepared by
the CIA Red Cell, which has
been charged by the Director
of Intelligence with taking a
pronounced "out-of-the-box"
approach that will provoke
thought and offer an
alternative viewpoint on the
full range of analytic issues. A Red Cell Special Memorandum 5 February 2010
What If Foreigners See the United States as an “Exporter of
Terrorism”?
(S//NF) Much attention has been paid recently to the increasing occurrence of
American-grown Islamic terrorists conducting attacks against US targets,
primarily in the homeland. Less attention has been paid to homegrown
terrorism, not exclusively Muslim terrorists, exported overseas to target non-
US persons. This report examines the implications of what it would mean for
the US to be seen increasingly as an incubator and “exporter of terrorism.”
(S//NF)
Contrary to common belief, the American export of terrorism or terrorists is not a recent
phenomenon, nor has it been associated only with Islamic radicals or people of Middle
Eastern, African or South Asian ethnic origin. This dynamic belies the American belief that
our free, open and integrated multicultural society lessens the allure of radicalism and
terrorism for US citizens.
•
Pakistan allegedly to join the Pakistani Taliban and to engage in jihad. Their relatives
contacted the FBI after they disappeared without telling anyone, and then Pakistani
authorities arrested them as they allegedly attempted to gain access to al-Qa’ida
training facilities.
Late last year five young Muslim American men traveled from northern Virginia to •
support of the Lashkar-i-Tayyiba (LT
160 people. LT induced him to change his name from Daood Gilani to David Headley
to facilitate his movement between the US, Pakistan, and India.
In November 2008, Pakistani-American David Headley conducted surveillance in) attack in Mumbai, India that killed more than •
perceived enemies of Israel. In 1994, Baruch Goldstein, an American Jewish doctor
from New York, emigrated to Israel, joined the extremist group Kach, and killed 29
Palestinians during their prayers in the mosque at the Tomb of the Patriarchs in
Hebron which helped to trigger a wave of bus bombings by HAMAS in early 1995.
Some American Jews have supported and even engaged in violent acts against •
efforts to compel the United Kingdom to relinquish control of Northern Ireland. In the
1880s, Irish-American members of Clan na Gael dynamited Britain’s Scotland Yard,
Parliament, and the Tower of London, and detonated bombs at several stations in
the London underground.In the twentieth century, Irish-Americans provided most of
the financial support sent to the Irish Republican Army (IRA). The US-based Irish
Northern Aid Committee (NORAID), founded in the late 1960s, provided the
Provisional Irish Republican Army (PIRA) with money that was frequently used for
arms purchases. Only after repeated high-level British requests and then London’s
support for our bombing of Libya in the 1980s did the US Government crack down on
Irish-American support for the IRA. (S//NF)Some Irish-Americans have long provided financial and material support for violent SECRET//NOFORN
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American Freedoms Facilitate Terrorist Recruitment and Operations
Primarily we have been concerned about Al-Qa’ida infiltrating operatives into the United
States to conduct terrorist attacks, but AQ may be increasingly looking for Americans to
operate overseas. Undoubtedly Al-Qa’ida and other terrorist groups recognize that
Americans can be great assets in terrorist operations overseas because they carry US
passports, don’t fit the typical Arab-Muslim profile, and can easily communicate with radical
leaders through their unfettered access to the internet and other modes of communication.
(S//NF) •
was able to travel multiple times on a US visa between the US, Pakistan, and India
without arousing suspicion from officials.
Terrorist groups such as Al-Qa’ida have surely noticed the ease with which Headley •
Government has been more concerned with preventing attacks on the US by
homegrown terrorists or foreigners than with Americans going overseas to carry out
attacks in other countries. Most foreign governments do not suspect that American
citizens would plot or perpetrate attacks against their citizens within their borders.
Foreign terrorists have recruited homegrown US extremists for attacks abroad and are
likely to increase the use of this method because so far it has slipped below the radar
of the governments of the US and other countries.
Al-Qa’ida and other extremist groups have also probably noticed that the US •
on popular websites such as Youtube, Facebook, Myspace, Twitter and various blogs
enable radical clerics and terrorist recruiters to bypass America’s physical borders and
influence US citizens. For example, a self-proclaimed recruiter for the Pakistani
Taliban reportedly contacted the five men in northern Virginian via YouTube and then
exchanged coded emails with the group. Terrorists apparently know that detection is
especially difficult in cases where the potential US recruit is not affiliated with any
known terrorist group. (S//NF)
The ubiquity of internet services around the world and the widespread use of English Impact on Foreign Relations if US Seen as “Exporter of Terrorism”
If the US were seen as an exporter of terrorism, foreign partners may be less willing to
cooperate with the United States on extrajudicial activities, including detention, transfer,
and interrogation of suspects in third party countries. As a recent victim of high-profile
terrorism originating from abroad, the US Government has had significant leverage to press
foreign regimes to acquiesce to requests for extraditing terrorist suspects from their soil.
However, if the US were seen as an “exporter of terrorism,” foreign governments could
request a reciprocal arrangement that would impact US sovereignty.
(S//NF) •
terrorist supporters, or even request the rendition of US citizens. US failure to
cooperate could result in those governments refusing to allow the US to extract
terrorist suspects from their soil, straining alliances and bilateral relations.
Foreign regimes could request information on US citizens they deem to be terrorists or •
extradition might lead some governments to consider secretly extracting US citizens
suspected of foreign terrorism from US soil. Foreign intelligence operations on US soil
to neutralize or even assassinate individuals in the US deemed to be a threat are not
without precedent. Before the US entered World War II, British intelligence carried out
information operations against prominent US citizens deemed to be isolationists or
sympathetic to the Nazis. Some historians who have examined relevant archives even
suspect that British intelligence officers assassinated Nazi agents on US soil. (S//NF)In extreme cases, US refusal to cooperate with foreign government requests for SECRET//NOFORN
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Foreign perception of the US as an “exporter of terrorism” also raises difficult legal issues
for the US, its foreign allies, and international institutions. To date, the US is not a signatory
to the International Criminal Court (ICC) and instead, has pursued Bilateral Immunity
Agreements (BIAs) with other countries to ensure immunity for US nationals from ICC
prosecution. The US has threatened to terminate economic aid and withdraw military
assistance with countries that do not accede to BIAs.
•
US, but not them, they could obstruct US efforts to detain terrorism suspects. For
example, in 2005 Italy issued criminal arrest warrants for US agents involved in the
abduction of an Egyptian cleric and his rendition to Egypt. The proliferation of such
cases would not only challenge US bilateral relations with other countries but also
damage global counterterrorism efforts.
If foreign regimes believe the US position on rendition is too one-sided, favoring the •
suspects or to allow witnesses to testify in their courts, they might respond by denying
the same to the US. In 2005 9/11 suspect Abdelghani Mzoudi was acquitted by a
German court because the US refused to allow Ramzi bin al-Shibh, a suspected
ringleader of the 9/11 plot who was in US custody, to testify. More such instances
could impede actions to lock up terrorists, whether in the US or abroad, or result in
the release of suspects. (S//NF)If foreign leaders see the US refusing to provide intelligence on American terrorism TO SEE FULL DOCUMENT AND SAVE IT/[RINT IT FROM YOUR COMPUTER VISIT:
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